Current standings posted

We will see how often I can update the standings, but as of now, the standings are current after the first four matches.  Also, in conjunction, the results of the first four matches are now available.  Both pages are now linked at the top.  If you wanted to know any of the previous days standings or results, you can check it out at The Archive page, now linked on the right.  You can also find links to the previous 5 pools as well as our two Euro Pools and 2015's Women's World Cup Pool.

Harry O has 2 of his 3 entries perfect (Teuton and Popozao).  He is one of 4 who entered the max of three entries.  Eleven others entered twice (including me).  While four are perfect at 4-0, 10 are 1-3 thus far.  Still lots of games to be played.  Quick Note:  You will only get points for a team advancing after their 3rd match (thus, if RUS beats EGY, they qualify for the Round of 16 after just two matches, but you will not get those 3 points until after Group A is complete).

Classic start and Spain-Portugal an instant classic (6/14-6/15)

For the host nation, A1-Russia got off to a great start in routing poor A2-Saudi Arabia, 5-0 and continued the streak of the host nation not losing in their opening match.  In our LA Galaxy Press Box circles, we refer to this as the "Pando", a rare score just as the rare sight of Pando scoring in the LA Galaxy's 2005 season where Pando Ramirez set a record (that may still exist?) for worst shooting percentage and his only goal was on a penalty kick, that bounced off the post and off the keeper (i.e., really  a miss).  Of course, all was redeemed as he scored the game-winner in overtime of the MLS Cup (where I called it, at the end of regulation, in the bathroom of the restaurant we were watching the game on, to the laughter of those in there... but I knew).  But with the rout, Russia could just hope for one point in the next two matches and pray the goal differential will get them to the next round.

Late goals propelled A4-Uruguay and B4-Iran to 1-0 wins, the latter benefiting on a 90'+5 own goal in a match B3-Morocco should have won.  So in a few days, Morocco loses the 2026 big and their opening match.

In the game everyone was looking forward to, the Iberian Derby, B1-Portugal and B2-Spain played a

Admin's Picks

Here are Scott's two entries as he kisses another $20 away.

Futbol Fabone Devyat'

Back in the U.S.S.R.

We unofficially have 68 entries!  We are close to topping our record of 75 in 2014.  Can we do it?  On our Facebook poll, 7 of 9 people said they were LESS interested in the World Cup because the U.S. isn't in it, but I guess "less interested" is still better than most things right now, except for The Expanse (thanks Amazon for saving the show!).  Still four hours left to enter before the 8 am PDT deadline.

FFB 18.01 "Contenders, Pretenders, and Surprises"

Archive

  

Tuesday, June 12, 2018

PREDICTING HOW FAR 10 SQUADS WILL GO

[ Contenders | Pretenders | Surprises ]

CONTENDERS
Germany	Star Power.  Depth.  Team Chemistry.  Experience.  A history of winning.  Well-coached. Some of the many reasons Germany is a tournament favorite once again.  The only thing missing from the 2014 iteration of the Defending Champs is Philipp Lamm, their maestro midfielder and leader who retired surprisingly young.  And how does Germany’s semi-finals bracket look?  Until the semi-final game, where they are likely to play Spain, there are teams they’ve dominated (Argentina) and another pair of teams Germany will simply outclass (Colombia & England).  Italy, the one team that has historically given Germany fits (and defeats) in the World Cup, didn’t qualify… another reason Germany’s chances of repeating are looking bright.  The winner of Spain vs. Germany may be the eventual champion.
Spain	La Roja Furia cruised thru their qualification, winning all but one game, which was a draw, and meanwhile sent Italy packing.  Spain has its 2010 WC & 2012 Euro Championship team stalwarts at defense (Ramos & Pique) and midfield (Iniesta) complemented by a newer, yet seasoned stars at all positions, including goal keeper De Gea and a healthy poaching striker in Diego Costa.  They’re firing on all cylinders, dominating possession and scoring plenty of goals while keeping clean sheets.  Spain’s depth is also an insurance policy, preventing untimely injuries from derailing their campaign.  A clear Top 4 squad this year.
France	France isn’t a dark horse, but perhaps I’m giving them more credit than they deserve when I say they are a Top 3 favorite to win the whole thing.  Young, energetic, hungry, and talented, France has a roster that has matured, and still on the rise.  Although they narrowly lost in Extra Time to Portugal at the Euro 2016 Championship, they were clearly the better side for the first 90 minutes of that game.  The favorites sometimes

United vs Morocco... And the winner is...

USA (and Canada), USA!, USA (and Mexico)!  Politics took a back seat to cash as for the first time, all FIFA eligible members voted on the next host of the World Cup, this one an expanded 48-team event in 2026 (not in the winter!).  134 of the 199 (of 211) nations cast their ballot for "United 2026" with Morocco still managing to get an impressive 65 votes.  USA (and Canada and Mexico) had gotten the vote fast-tracked but Morocco still was able to sneak in on the eve of the deadline. 

The good news is Canada will automatically qualify for the World Cup for the first time since 1986 (assuming they don't get in 2022) and the USA won't have to recycle Sampson/Bradley/Arena/Klinsmann as coach to save qualifying in 2025.  Mexico will continue to qualify and continue to not make it past the Round of 16 which it has done since 1990.

With 44 entries, we may actually get close to our record 75 set last time in 2014.  Hmmmm...  Remember, the deadline is 8 am PDT Thursday!  I may not get to check for errors so I will be emaing some of you if you accidentally filled out the Round of 16 bracket incorrectly.  No worries!

Head to Head

Interesting battles between World Cup teams in friendlies this month as we ramp up to Thursday's start of the 21st World Cup.  Asian countries are struggling with H4-Korea Republic losing to H2-Senegal 2-0, H4-Japan losing to E2-Switzerland 2-0, and A2-Saudi Arabia losing to F1-Germany 2-1 and C3-Peru 3-0.  CONCACAF's E3-Costa Rica were routed by G1-Belgium 4-1 and G4-England 2-0.  F3-Sweden & Peru and Belguim & B1-Portugal both played to scoreless draws while B2-Spain & Switzerland and H3-Colombia & A3-Egypt both drew 1-1.  D3-Croatia beat Senegal 2-1 but lost to E1-Brazil 2-0.  Belgium also crushed Egypt 3-0 and England beat D4-Nigeria 2-0.

Friendlies conclude Tuesday with Group H teams Japan and H1-Poland playing non-World Cup teams as they don't start their World Cup until next Tuesday, June 19th.

We have 14 entries thus far with more than two days left to enter.  Deadline is 8 am PDT Thursday.  Good luck!

Issue #1.0.1 "Six Sigma Not Enough for USA"

Archive

Sunday, June 10, 2018 ***HAPPY BIRTHDAY WIFEY***

IMPROBABLE BUT NOW POSSIBLE, USA AND ITALY ARE OUT
Our 6th World Cup pool arrives late but will still be six-sigma of fun

JET PROPULSION LABORATORY, PASADENA, CA (smt) --  There will be no Red, White, and Blue nor Gli Azzurri (snapping a streak of 14 straight World Cups) nor Clockwork Orange (who also missed 2016 EURO) in the World Cup in Russia.  All three teams will watch from the sidelines as 32 teams vie for the 21st World Cup including newcomers D2-Iceland (which beat G4-England at Euro 2016 and is the smallest population nation to qualify) and G2-Panama and long-awaited returns from C3-Peru (1982) and A3-Egypt (1990).   #1 ranked F1-Germany will have to battle favorites E1-Brazil and fan-favorite B2-Spain if they want to repeat as champions.  Host A1-Russia had the lowest rank when the World Cup Draw happened and will try to not become the 2nd host team to fail to qualify for the Knockout Stage (South Africa, 2010). 

For the first time, FIFA ranked all 32 qualifying teams in rank order, including pots 2, 3, and 4, which were usually divided into regional confederations.  As such, it was possible one group could have all been UEFA members or not have any UEFA members.  But there ended up being a good mix in all the groups... except for Group A, which happens to be the host country.  Russia, which was already ranked lowest in Pot 1 by far, got the 2nd worst team in Pot 2 (A4-Uruguay), the 3rd worst team in Pot 3 (A3-Egypt), and the worst team overall in Pot 4 (A4-Saudi Arabia).  C1-France (worst of Pot 1) drew the 2nd best team in Pot 2 (C2-Peru), the best team in Pot 3 (C3-Denmark), and the 3rd best team in Pot 4 (C4-Australia).  The toughest group has the 3rd best in Pot 1 (E1-Brazil), the 3rd best in Pot 2 (E2-Swiss), the 3rd best in Pot 3 (E3-Costa Rica), and the best in Pot 4 (E4-Serbia).

While Italy and the Netherlands failed to qualify in the harsh UEFA qualifying rounds, the USA somehow managed to not qualify in the easiest region in the world for the first time since 1986.  Before the ill-fated October 10, 2017 day, ESPN's Soccer Power Index (SPI) had the USA with a 97% chance of finishing in the top 4 of the CONCACAF table (top 3 advance, 4th to make playoff).  And despite playing like an amateur team against another third-rate team in front of just 1,500 people, with 43 minutes left,