Wednesday, July 3, 2019

Extra Time! (7/3)

For the first time, a WWC semifinal went into Extra Time.  Each GK had some amazing finger tip saves and 2F-Sweden were at one time pounding 1E-Netherlands on fouls 17 to 2 in the first 62 minutes.  But in ET, a seemingly typical play saw Jackie Groenen with some daylight and she hit a rocket of strike from way outside the box into the left corner in the 99' and NED held on to win 1-0, their first trip to the Finals in just their 2nd WWC appearance.  They will face 1F-USA, who is making their 5th final on Sunday.

SWE's Kosovare Asllani committed 8 fouls (no cautions) and was fouled 7 times (2 drawing cautions) as SWE ended up outfouling NED 24 to 14.  She was also carted off on a stretcher after being hit in the face with the ball in the 120'+1 delaying the match for more than 5 minutes.  SWE lost for the 3rd time in the SF.


So NED will have played 30 more minutes and will have one day less rest than USA.  6 of their 11 goals have come after the 75' but the USA has scored in the first 13 minutes in each of their 6 matches.  A rout?  Fivethirtyeight has USA with a 66% win probability.

On Wednesday, 5 picked NED.  On placement, all 5 had NED as 1E in the Final.  Pazzo Americano (6th, 117) lost SWE in final and now can only win 4th if USA wins the Cup.  No one was eliminated with NED's win.  From the Pubs! is now in first with 125 pts with the THE GAMBLER 1 2nd (123).  The former wins the pool if USA wins and the latter wins the pool if NED wins.  If USA wins, UncleChimps (3rd-Tied, 120) and Futbol Fabone Dix (5th, 119) finish 2nd and 3rd.  If NED wins, From the Pubs! finishes 2nd and there's a tiebreaker for 3rd between UncleChimps and Tom J (3rd-T).  If the total goals from the 3rd place and Final matches is 6 or less, UncleChimps gets 3rd, otherwise Tom J gets 3rd.

If UNITED STATES beats NETHERLANDS in Final…

From the Pubs!
137
UncleChimps
132
Futbol Fabone Dix
131
Pazzo Americano
129
If NETHERLANDS beats UNITED STATES in Final…

THE GAMBLER 1
135
From the Pubs!
125
UncleChimps
120
Tie:
6.5
Wins 3rd if total goals is 6 or less
Tom J
120
Tie:
7.0
Wins 3rd if total goals is 7 or more




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